A Winning Week
Don’t call your local newspaper about it or anything, but last week was a good sign. 9-6 is 60% and in ordinary times that would be exactly where I want to be, an extra 15 games to add to the sample size that further solidifies my maintaining the expectation. Is it enough this year though? No, it’s not. I need a big week, something to get me out of this about .500 zone I’ve been mired in, probably a couple big weeks actually. It doesn’t really matter when that happens, and decent weeks are necessary contributions as well, but the longer we wait for it, the more patience gets tested.
There are some signs that the system is starting to lock in, freakishly accurate calls across the board. For example, last week the system felt Ohio State was giving up too many points, so I knew that the line wouldn’t be moving nearly enough to be taking the favorite. What about the underdog then? Well, Michigan State was a possibility if the line (+27) moved a little higher, specifically, according to the system, all the way up to (+29.5). That never happened so I never selected the game, but the result? Ohio State won by 29. That’s merely an anecdote, but as the guy plugging all these numbers into the spreadsheet, my experience with it has given me a sense of when a big week might be imminent. And I have that feeling now. However, I will always prefer talking about that after it’s happened as opposed to before I think it might, so let’s keep it down a bit for now, shall we?
I enter this week 38-39, not getting creamed by anything but the juice, but that’s a lot of juice. The system only likes 11 games this week, not my preference, but I can only take what I’m given; there are no subjective calls to add this process. Unfortunately one of them, Baylor last night, is already a loser so I’ll head into to Saturday needing at least 6-4 from the day, and nearly perfect for this to be the week I break out. We’ll see.
Thursday
Baylor -3.5 at West Virginia (Loss)
Saturday
Miami (OH) -7 at Bowling Green
California -15 at Colorado
Western Kentucky -8 at Middle Tennessee
UAB -24 at home vs Charlotte
South Florida +12.5 at home vs Tulane
Rice +3.5 at Florida Atlantic
Mississippi State -7 at Kentucky
Purdue -13.5 at home vs Nebraska
Clemson -3.5 at Florida State
Memphis +5.5 at East Carolina
There is the potential for one more if I can get Arkansas at (+1.5) and should it happen, I will post the addition on social media for all to see. Be sure to follow me there if you haven’t yet and have a great weekend!
